December 9, 2009

Day 3: Wednesday, December 9, 2009 Updated full day news

Update 4:13 pm

The big news is two specific stories:
  • Although many are not surprised, the Guardian leaked "Danish papers" are highly flavoring the discussions and mistrust is ruling the day. According to unnamed sources quoted in ECO, "I'm aware of four different initiatives." And of course the biggest issue, "And the last thing we want is a beautify contest over competing texts."

  • A breakdown of process in the COP meeting over next steps to address whether to proceed with the Kyoto Protocol or a separate process. A contact group would be established to consider 5 proposals and determine next steps. The conflict was between AOSIS and African least develop countries and Saudi Arabia/China/India and other Arab states. They suspended the meeting until the issue was resolved (reconvened at 3 pm).
Twelve hours later update - 4:29 am Thursday morning




Tuvalu set the stage for being a leader and changing the tone of the conference. The fourth smallest country in the world, this small Polynesian island nation of no more than 12,000 people made an incredible splash at the conference. They sit 15 feet above sea level on a coral atoll and during this historic speech noted, "We are here to seal the deal. To sign a legally binding document for the survival of Tuvalu."




Now dubbed the Copenhagen Protocol by Tuvalu, the supplemental accord reached here would augment updates to the Kyoto protocol. Under the proposal by the nation, both legally binding documents would hold countries accountable for actions to reduce emissions to levels  for a 1.5 degree C temperature increase.

After this historic speech given by Tuvalu's longtime climate adviser Ian Fry, negotiations broke down over next steps for discussion of the treaty. Specifically the recommendation supported by Tuvalu and Grenada was to establish a contact group to allow for transparent negotiations. Much of this posturing precipitated from the leak of the Danish papers that I noted earlier (4 pm post).

Fifteen countries blocked discussion of the proposal in support of legally binding documents. Instead these countries including China, India, Saudi Arabia and South Africa, are seeking a political document out of these talks, delaying any legal discussion until Mexico City's meeting next year or beyond. Further, the G77 and African nations began to fracture under the political pressure with the island nations (AOSIS) standing firm. Without consensus, President of the COP, Dane Minister Connie Hedegaard, suspended the COP plenary at the request of Tuvalu and an agreement was not reached during the day. NGOs protested the suspension of plenary in a great showing of force supporting Tuvalu with signs "Tuvalu is the real deal." Plenary is scheduled to begin again at 10 am; it is unclear what accords were reached over night.

Two other notable speakers presented during the plenary. CAN International was represented by Aditi Kapoor and ECO Singapore-an, Amira Karim represented the Youth Delegation spoke before the COP Plenary on the importance of this meeting. I have to note that the Youth speaker was poised and delivered a very strong message. I am honestly proud of the number of young people here.

Ms. Kapoor, an Indian national, noted that "the safety of our planet is not negotiable." She concluded her statement by saying, "When the story of the struggle to save the world from climate change is written, how will you be judged?  Will you be the ones with good intentions but who sadly lacked the strength and willpower to live their dreams? Will your children and grandchildren look back in shame that you missed this opportunity?  OR will you emerge as the hero who saved the day and agreed a fair, ambitious and binding agreement from Copenhagen?" Ms. Karim dubbed the developed country activities (Danish papers) as "tantamount to carbon colonialism" and really put an exclamation mark on her remarks by concluding, "We face an unprecedented challenge that calls for unity and responsibility. It is not enough to say “yes we can” but rather “yes we can, yes we must, yes we will.”"


In other news, EPA Administrator Lisa Jackson spoke to a packed room here in Copenhagen. I was able to stand outside and watch on the monitors while others in our delegation made it into the room. Administrator Jackson observed, "We owe it to ourselves, our fellow nations, and future generations to rise to this moment of challenge – and set a course towards sustainability, peace, prosperity and opportunity. For President Obama and the United States, that global effort starts at home. We have been hard at work on confronting climate change, through a wide range of initiatives – some you may have heard about, and others you may not have. We have been fighting to make up for lost time. In less than 11 months since taking office, we have done more to promote clean energy and prevent climate change than happened in the last 8 years."

A new development - a RAY OF THE DAY award!

Second place was awarded to Russian Federation for proposing that their announced reductions of 20-25% were "an important political statement" hedging on any legally binding target. First place was a tie between Canada and Croatia opposing the 1990 base year for basing emission levels.

But after the actions of the day, the first time ever awards "Ray of Day" award to recognize countries that "substantially advance progress in climate change talks" was given to Tuvalu. The actual, true member of the Tuvaluvian delegation was given a white feather halo to wear to signify the award during the ceremonies. He was slightly mortified. And we were given a new song to sing, although not as catchy as the Fossil of the Day theme.

Other coverage

And because I am still just trying to swallow Sarah's commentary in the Washington Post on climate change, here is a further opinion piece saying not only is she a credible critic but she's right. I wonder how she can be either when she doesn't read the newspaper that she is printed in? Thank goodness America is open to all opinions; just wish some day we can have a rational debate. Gore's response on MSNBC.

    Day 2 COP15: Tuesday, December 8, 2009

    Day 2 COP15: December 8, 2009 (written December 9, 2009, 9:46 am)


    Insomnia finally solved (a bit - six hours of sleep), but still working at night at my real job and figuring out how to find real food here. The food at Bella Center is Danish food. Need I say more? I am going to try something different because coffee and Coke and fruit and Snickers is not always the food of champions. Especially after three days.



    The technology support here is amazing. There are several very large computer rooms that are available to delegates and they even have stations set up for Skype (which cracks me up since I have been resisting using it). So for day 3, dumped the laptop; especially after my converter broke. My thoughts though, as this is a conference on climate change after all, is how much electricity does it take to power these huge computer stations? Or the bajillion laptops in sessions being held here? If nothing else though, it is clear that the internet age has been achieved and Dell is doing well at this conference!

    I will begin to answer the question that several of my readers asked early on - is this Conference anything like Model UN? I will elaborate further, but the short answer is yes, incredibly similar. The only real difference is the volume of people and strong presence of NGOs and media. But more on that later.

    The media has been doing a great job of coverage. The NY Times and Christian Science Monitor really have been spot on. So if you have a need for additional background, I really would direct you to their stories.

    For Day 2, I attended the SBI Plenary and heard a great deal of statements on ongoing concerns about duplication and overlap of agenda tasks between the multiple tracks. Also the ongoing sentiment in the SBI was that capacity building and education generally have not been as robust as possible. Partially, this is due to the lack of up to date communications by Annex I countries on what they have done to date and how. They also noted that lack of financing is to blame. Technology transfer and the lack thereof is another ongoing concern. In all, I think the lack of Kyoto compliance is coming to bear at the conference and may flavor ongoing debates for the KP and SBI tracks.

    The delegation caucuses are well established here. Normal groups like G77, Least Developed Countries, the African Block, EU, etc. But fun new names like the Umbrella Group (Australia, Canada, Iceland, Japan, New Zealand, Norway, Russia, Ukraine and the USA) and the Environmental Integrity Group (Mexico, South Korea and Switzerland).

    Interesting notes from press briefings - CAN-Europe noted that the EU actually can do more financially with their commitments as emission reductions have made certain compliance items cheaper and the financial strength of the Euro has grown. Others noted that the continuing rhetoric that nothing can be accomplished at this COP has been done before. "We were told no agreement could be achieved at Montreal in 2005. Told that Bali's road map would be impossible. We have two weeks and this is the first time that heads of states will be attending. If we can come to an agreement, lawyers can turn that into text," noted Steven Guilbeault of Equitterre.



    Most depressing press conference I have attended in a very long time: UNEP and IPCC's update on AR5.
    According to science models and data sets using over 24,000 studies, with climate staying where it is today (no change), AR5 work has found:
    • Arctic ice will be gone between 2030-2050.
    • By 2090, most of the world will experience 4-5 degree C increases with arctic regions up to 7 degrees.
    • Stand at 387 ppm today which is 29 percent higher than it has been in 800,000 years
    • There is thinning of ice in Greenland and Antarctica but some new build up that they wish to study further
    • At zero emisisons starting in 2020, sea level will still rice
    • With geoengenerring activities, they still cannot make the ocean acidification go away and any efforts would quickly be undermined with the geoengineering not continuing
    There will be some very good charts coming out of the AR5 report that will be helpful for policy people!

    But here is a great quote from Dr. Rajendra Pachauri, the chairman of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, when asked about Saudi Arabia's use of the email/hack situation to question the scientific validity of climate change: "I would have been concerned if they didn't bring it up. Oil and politics mix well; I am not as sure if oil and science mixes well."

    Fossil of the Day Awards, brought to you by CAN.

    I really enjoy these I have to say and had the theme song in my head all last night!